It looks like your Sunday will be dry. Monday should be dry for the Veterans Day parades in Albany and Roseburg.

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Check out my latest Eugene Daily News Weather Or Not Column How Do You Spell Family?

 

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Here is my weekly weather quiz question for the last time. What does the National Weather consider to be the meaning of the word “normal” when used to describe meteorological parameters? Here is the correct answer. Normal is the long-term average value of a meteorological paramater (i.e., temperature, humidity, etc.) for a certain area. For example, “temperatures are normal for this time of year” means that temperatures are at or near the average climatological value for the given date. Normals are usually taken from data averaged over a 30-year period (e.g., 1971-2000 average), and are concerned with the distribution of data within limits of common occurrence. I’ll have a new weekly weather quiz question for you starting Monday. Please remember to post your answer as a comment by clicking on “no comments /comments” in the upper right hand portion of this page under the caption, then add your comment. The first person to post the correct answer will win a week of free personalized weather forecasts tailored to your needs. The answer has to be a comment to win. An email answer will not count. Good luck.

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A Blue-Green Algae warning continues for Tenmile Lakes in Coos County, Fern Ridge Reservoir, Lost Creek Lake,  Devils Lake and Willow Creek Reservoir (NE Oregon). Water monitoring has confirmed the presence of blue-green algae that can produce toxins, state public health officials said. The algae levels are likely associated with dangerous cyanotoxin concentrations in the water that can be harmful to humans and animals. Swallowing or inhaling water droplets, as well as skin contact with water, should be avoided according to the authorities.
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A short-lived and weak high pressure ridge (Shaded “Arch” shape) is trying to keep us dry, but there is still enough onshore airflow to keep the slight chance of precipitation with us. An upper level low (Shaded “U” shape offshore) will bring back the chance of rain by sending frontal systems our way. It looks like a frontal system will be approaching the Oregon coast Tuesday bringing back a better chance of rain.

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Your Saturday College Football Forecasts: (November 16th)

Ducks vs Utah at Autzen Stadium, Kickoff: 1:00 PM Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers, temperature 46 warming to 52 before game’s end.

Beavers vs Arizona State at Stadium Tempe, Arizona, Kickoff: 6:30 PM Partly cloudy 72 falling into the 60s during the game.

 

 

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Forecast for the Southern and lower Mid Willamette Valley including Eugene-Springfield and Albany-Corvallis:

  • Mostly cloudy with areas of fog tonight,
  • Cloudy with areas of AM fog, partly cloudy Sunday afternoon and evening,  mostly cloudy with patchy fog late Sunday night,
  • Areas of AM fog, a mix of clouds and sun Monday (Veterans Day), increasing clouds to mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening rain, good (50%) chance of rain late Monday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with rain Tuesday, then a good (50%) chance of showers at night.
  • lows 38-42 highs 56-60 cooling to 54 Tuesday.
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of showers Thursday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain at night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Friday through Saturday.
  • highs 56-52 lows near 40. (seasonal averages high 54 low 39)
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Forecast for the Umpqua Basin including Roseburg:

  • Partly cloudy this evening, increasing clouds to mostly cloudy with patchy fog late tonight,
  • Cloudy with areas of AM fog, partly cloudy Sunday afternoon and evening, mostly cloudy with areas of fog late Sunday night,
  • Patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy Monday (Veterans Day), cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening rain, rain likely (70%) late Monday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with showers Tuesday, then a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday night,
  • lows 43-48 cooling to 43 Tuesday night highs 57-59.
  • Mostly cloudy Wednesday, partly cloudy at night,
  • Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Thursday, mostly cloudy with a (30%) of rain at night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Friday through Saturday.
  • highs 58-52 lows 42-45 cooling to 42 Friday night. (seasonal averages high 57 low 42)

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Forecast for the South Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Partly cloudy this evening, mostly cloudy with areas of fog late tonight,
  • Cloudy with areas of fog Sunday AM, partly cloudy in the afternoon and evening, cloudy with patchy fog late Sunday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with AM fog Monday (Veterans Day), just mostly cloudy in the afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of evening rain, rain late Monday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with AM showers, showers likely (70%) Tuesday afternoon, then a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday night.
  • lows 45-49 cooling to 45 Tuesday night highs 59-57.
  • Mostly cloudy Wednesday, partly cloudy at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Thursday and Thursday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Friday, rain likely (60%) Friday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Saturday.
  • highs 58-55 lows 44-48 cooling to 45 Friday night. (seasonal averages high 57 low 44)

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Forecast for the Cascades of Lane County:

  • Mostly cloudy this evening, partly cloudy late tonight through
  • Monday (Veterans Day), clouds increasing to mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening rain, a (40%) chance of rain Monday night,
  • Rain Tuesday, then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers at night.
  • free air freezing level 9,000 ft. rising to 10,000 ft. late tonight, 10,000 ft. Sunday, 11,000 ft. Sunday night and Monday, snow level above 8,000 ft. falling to 7,500 ft. late Monday night, 7,000 ft. Tuesday, then 6,500 ft. Tuesday night.
  • lows 35-30 warming to 36 Monday night cooling to 32 Tuesday night highs 50-52 cooling to near 47 Tuesday.
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of rain Wednesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of showers Thursday, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain and snow Thursday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Friday through Saturday.
  • snow level 7,000 ft. Wednesday, 8,000 ft. at night, 7,500 ft. Thursday, 6,000 ft. Thursday night, 7,000 ft. Friday, 6,500 ft. Friday night, then 7,000 ft. Saturday.
  • highs 45-39 lows 32-30.

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**Because weather forecasting is a combination of science, intuition, and timing there can be no absolute guarantees that individual forecasts will be 100% accurate. Nature is in a constant state of flux and sudden unexpected weather events can happen.

 

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Get your local Eugene-Springfield and Lane County news on-line at Eugene Daily News.com.

 

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