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Tim Chuey Weather

by | Feb 4, 2024 | Weather

February 4, 2024

Note: Weather is a constantly changing phenomenon and weather forecasting is a combination of science, experience, and intuition. The accuracy of any given forecast can chance due to unexpected changes in atmospheric conditions, so there are no guarantees the the actual weather will conform to the projected forecast.

ADVISORIES

  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM TONIGHT ABOVE 3,500 FT. FOR NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY FOR JACKSON COUNTY.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM MONDAY FOR THE FOOTHILLS OF THE NORTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON.

HEALTH ADVISORIES

  • A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE  RIVER.

THE WEATHER PATTERN

An Atmospheric River has been pumping a lot of moisture into California, but luckily not as much into Oregon  The graphics for days 1-3  show the complex frontal system moving through Oregon Monday. The graphics for days 3-7   Wednesday through Sunday show complex frontal systems  approaching the Pacific Northwest the pushing through Wednesday, Friday, and next Sunday..

Note: A check on the many groundhog predictions Friday shows they all predict an early Spring, But Spencer Butte Bob, My personal Groundhog, did see his shadow Friday morning (sunshine and clouds) in Eugene predicting six more weeks of winter. If our current weather indicates what the rest of Winter will be like then I’ll take it.

Forecast For The South Willamette Valley Including Eugene-Springfield:

  • Cloudy with a good (50%) chance of evening rain, rain late tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Patchy AM fog and late night fog, mostly cloudy with rain Monday (0.25 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) chance of evening rain, a good (50%) chance of showers late Monday night (under o.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of AM showers, a slight (20%) chance of showers and a bit warmer Tuesday afternoon (under o.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain late at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and a bit cooler Wednesday, then a good (50%) chance of rain Wednesday night.
  • lows 39-36 highs 48-50 cooling to 47 Sunday.
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain, a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday afternoon, a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers and a bit warmer Friday, a good (50%) chance of showers at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with showers likely (70%) Saturday and in the evening, a good (50%) chance of showers late Saturday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of showers Sunday.
  • highs 40-35 lows 33-39. (seasonal averages high 50 low 35)

Forecast for the Umpqua Valley including Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of evening rain, rain likely (70%) late tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) and warmer Monday (0.25 in. of rain possible, snow level 3,500 ft.), a (40%) chance of evening rain, a (40%) chance of showers late Monday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of AM rain and snow showers, a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday afternoon (under o.10 in. of rain possible), a (30%) chance of rain and snow showers at night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 3,500 ft.),
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday night.
  • lows 40-37 highs 50-47.
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers and a bit warmer Thursday, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday, a (40%) chance of showers at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with showers likely (70%) Saturday, a good (50%) chance of showers Saturday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (30%) chance of showers Sunday.
  • highs 48-54 lows 36-42 (seasonal averages high 52  low 37).

Forecast for the Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy and slightly warmer with coastal rain likely (70%) Monday while inland AM rain and inland rain likely (70%) and slightly warmer Monday afternoon (0.25 in. of rain possible), a (30%) chance of evening rain, a (30%) chance of rain late Monday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers Tuesday (under o.10 in. of rain possible) and at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday, then a (40%) chance of rain late Wednesday night.
  • lows 43-39 highs near 52.
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM showers, showers likely (70%) Thursday afternoon, a good (50%) chance of showers Thursday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of showers Friday, showers likely (70%) at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with showers likely (70%) Saturday, a good (50%) chance of showers Saturday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (30%) chance of showers Sunday.
  • highs near 52-57 lows 39-44. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41)

Forecast for the Northern Oregon Cascades including Willamette Pass:

  • Mostly cloudy with evening snow likely (70%) and a chance of rain, rain and snow late tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible, 2 in. of snow possible) and windy (Pass Wind: E 20-30 mph gusts to 50 mph decreasing and shifting to S 15-20 mph gusts to 35 late at night),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain and snow Monday (0.25 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible), evening rain and snow likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers late Monday night (0.10 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible),
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a good (50%) chance of snow and rain showers and a bit cooler Tuesday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of evening snow and rain showers, snow and rain likely (70%) at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with snow and rain likely (70%) and  a bit cooler Wednesday, a good (50%) chance of evening snow and rain, then a good (50%) chance of snow Wednesday night.
  • snow level 4,500 ft. tonight and Monday, 4,000 ft. Monday night, 3,500 ft. Tuesday, 3,000 ft. Tuesday night, then 2,500 ft. Wednesday and Wednesday night.
  • lows 28-22 highs 37-32.
  • Mostly cloudy with rain showers and snow showers likely (70%) Thursday, snow and rain showers likely (70%) Thursday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely (70%) and a good (50%) chance of showers Friday, a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with rain and snow showers likely (70%) Saturday, evening rain and snow showers likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night,
  • Then a mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Sunday.
  •  snow level 2,500 ft. Thursday, 3,000 ft. Thursday night, 2,500 ft. Friday, 3,500 ft. Friday night, 4,000 ft. Saturday, then 4,500 ft. Saturday night and Sunday.
  • highs 32-38 lows 20-27.