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Tim Chuey Weather

by | Feb 6, 2024 | Weather

February 6, 2024

Note: Weather is a constantly changing phenomenon and weather forecasting is a combination of science, experience, and intuition. The accuracy of any given forecast can chance due to unexpected changes in atmospheric conditions, so there are no guarantees the the actual weather will conform to the projected forecast.

ADVISORIES

  • NONE AT THIS TIME.

HEALTH ADVISORIES

  • A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE  RIVER.

THE WEATHER PATTERN

An Atmospheric River guided by an Upper Level Low pressure Trough has been pumping a lot of moisture into California, but luckily not as much into Oregon.  The graphics for days 1-3  show no frontal systems moving into Oregon. The graphics for days 3-7   Friday through Tuesday show complex frontal systems  approaching the Pacific Northwest the pushing through Friday and next Sunday and Monday.

Forecast For The South Willamette Valley Including Eugene-Springfield:

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, rain likely (70%) late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with AM rain likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of showers and a bit cooler Wednesday afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) chance of rain Wednesday night with patchy fog late (under o.10 in. of rain possible),
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a good (50%) chance of rain and a bit warmer Thursday, a good (50%) chance of rain at night (under o.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Friday, then a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night.
  • lows 38-35 highs 45-48.
  • Clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of AM showers, a bit warmer with a (30%) chance of showers Saturday afternoon, a (30%) chance of showers Saturday night,
  • Clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of AM showers, a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday afternoon, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of showers at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (30%) chance of showers Monday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday night,
  • Then a mix of clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday.
  • highs 50-52 lows near 37. (seasonal averages high 50 low 35)

Forecast for the Umpqua Valley including Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening rain and snow showers, rain and snow late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 3,000 ft. falling to 2,500 ft. late at night),
  • Mostly cloudy with patchy AM fog and rain and snow, a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Wednesday afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 2,500 ft. rising to 3,000 ft.), a good (50%) chance of evening rain and snow,  a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers with patchy fog late Wednesday night (under o.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 3,000 ft. falling to 2,500 ft. late at night),
  • Patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow Thursday (snow level 2,000 ft. rising to 2,500 ft.), a (40%) chance of rain and snow at night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, snow level 2,500 ft. falling to 2,000 ft. late),
  • Mostly cloudy with AM rain and snow likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of showers Friday and a bit warmer afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, then just mostly cloudy late Friday night.
  • lows 39-37 warming to 38 Friday night highs 47-48.
  • Mostly cloudy start, partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday, a slight (20%) chance of showers at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday.
  • highs 52-55 lows 39-37 warming back to 39 Sunday night (seasonal averages high 52 low 37).

Forecast for the Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of evening coastal rain and coastal rain late tonight while mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening inland showers and inland late evening rain likely (70%) with inland rain late tonight (under o.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with AM rain,  a slight (20%) chance of coastal rain  and a bit cooler Wednesday afternoon while inland rain likely (70%) and a bit cooler Wednesday afternoon (o.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of evening coastal rain while inland evening rain likely (70%) and patchy fog with a (40%) chance of inland rain late Wednesday night (o.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with patchy AM fog and a slight (20%) chance of coastal showers and a bit warmer with a (30%) chance of afternoon coastal rain while  a (30%) chance of inland showers and a bit warmer Thursday, a (40%) chance of rain with patchy inland fog Thursday night ,
  • Patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers Friday, then a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday night.
  • lows 40-39 highs 50-52.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday, a (30%) chance of showers Saturday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday afternoon , a slight (20%) chance of showers Sunday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Monday and Monday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Tuesday.
  • highs near 55-57 lows 42-40 warming back to 42 Sunday night. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41).

Forecast for the Northern Oregon Cascades including Willamette Pass:

  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of evening rain and snow showers, a good (50%) chance of snow and freezing drizzle late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, little or no snow accumulation expected),
  • Mostly cloudy with AM snow, snow and rain likely (70%) and a bit cooler Wednesday afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible), evening snow and rain likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of snow late Wednesday night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with a (%) chance of AM snow, snow likely (70%) Thursday, evening snow and rain likely (70%), snow likely (70%) late at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with AM snow likely (70%), a good (50%) chance of snow and rain Friday afternoon, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening, then a slight (20%) chance of evening rain and snow Friday night.
  • snow level 2,500 ft. tonight through Wednesday night, 2,000 ft. Thursday and Thursday night, 2,500 ft. Friday, then 3,000 ft. Friday night.
  • lows 22-20 highs near 32.
  • Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM snow showers and rain showers, a (40%) chance of showers and a bit warmer Saturday afternoon, a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers Sunday afternoon, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a (30%) chance of snow and rain showers Monday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of evening rain and snow showers, just partly cloudy late Monday night,
  • Then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday.
  • snow level  3,500 ft. Saturday, 4,500 ft. Saturday night, then 4,000 ft. Sunday through Tuesday.
  • highs 37-40 lows near 25.