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Tim Chuey Weather

by | Feb 10, 2024 | Weather

February 11, 2024

Note: Weather is a constantly changing phenomenon and weather forecasting is a combination of science, experience, and intuition. The accuracy of any given forecast can chance due to unexpected changes in atmospheric conditions, so there are no guarantees the the actual weather will conform to the projected forecast.

ADVISORIES

  • A BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT FOR DANGEROUS SNEAKER WAVES IS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE NORTH OREGON COAST AND THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST.

HEALTH ADVISORIES

  • A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE  RIVER.

THE WEATHER PATTERN

The Upper Level Low Pressure Trough has been moving eastward and has helped move the Atmospheric River  southward away from California. The graphics for days 1-3  show a frontal system moving into Oregon today. The graphics for days 3-7   Wednesday through Sunday show complex frontal systems  approaching the Pacific Northwest.

Forecast For The South Willamette Valley Including Eugene-Springfield:

  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain, a good (50%) chance of showers and a bit cooler this afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of evening showers, a slight (20%) chance of showers late tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, a mix of clouds and sun Monday afternoon, partly cloudy at night,
  • Partly cloudy Tuesday, a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, then mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of showers late Tuesday night.
  • highs 53-50 lows 40-32 warming to 34 Tuesday night.
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday (Valentine’s Day), mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers Wednesday night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun with a (40%) chance of showers Thursday, mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of evening showers, just mostly cloudy late at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of showers Friday, a good (50%) chance of showers Friday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM showers, then showers likely (70%) Saturday afternoon.
  • highs 49-52 lows 34-38. (seasonal averages high 51 low 35)

Forecast for the Umpqua Valley including Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy with patchy fog and a slight (20%) chance of showers and slightly cooler today, patchy fog with a (30%) chance of showers tonight,
  • Patchy AM fog, mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday, a partly cloudy at night,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit warmer Tuesday, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Tuesday night.
  • highs 55-53 warming back to 55 Tuesday lows near 42-34 warming to 38 Tuesday night.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (30%) chance of rain Wednesday (Valentine’s Day), a (40%) chance of rain Wednesday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of rain Thursday, a slight (20%) chance of rain at night,
  • Mostly cloudy with a (30%) chance of rain Friday and in the evening, rain likely (70%) late Friday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) Saturday.
  • highs 52-57 lows 38-40 (seasonal averages high 53 low 37).

Forecast for the Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of showers today (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a slight (20%) chance of evening coastal showers and just mostly cloudy tonight, while a (30%) chance of inland showers with patchy fog late tonight,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer Monday, partly cloudy at night,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit warmer Tuesday, then mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain Tuesday night.
  • highs 54-57 lows 42-37 warming to 40 Tuesday night.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a (40%) chance of rain Wednesday (Valentine’s Day), a (40%) chance of rain Wednesday night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a (40%) chance of rain Thursday, a (30%) chance of rain at night,
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with a (40%) chance of rain Friday, rain likely (70%) Friday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) Saturday.
  • highs near 56-58 lows 40-46. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41).

Forecast for the Northern Oregon Cascades including Willamette Pass:

  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of showers today and a (40%) chance of afternoon snow, a good (50%) chance of evening rain and snow showers, a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers late tonight,
  • Clouds and sun with a slight (20%) chance of AM rain and snow showers, a mix of clouds and sun and a bit cooler Monday afternoon, partly cloudy at night,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit warmer Tuesday, then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night.
  • free air freezing level 5,500 ft. today, 4,000 ft. tonight, 3,500 ft. Monday,  4,500 ft. falling to 4,000 ft. late Monday night, free air freezing level 6,500 ft. Tuesday, then 4,000 ft. Tuesday night.
  • highs 39-42 lows 27- 22 warming to 24 Tuesday night.
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday (Valentine’s Day), mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Wednesday night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun with good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers and a bit cooler Thursday, mostly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers at night,
  • A mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with a good (50%) chance of snow and rain showers Friday, mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Friday night,
  • Then mostly cloudy and a bit warmer with with rain and snow showers likely (70%) Saturday.
  • snow level 4,000 ft. Wednesday and Wednesday night, 3,500 ft. Thursday and Thursday night, then 4,000 ft. Friday through Saturday.
  • highs 38-36 warming to 40 Saturday lows 24-30.