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Tim Chuey Weather

by | Feb 17, 2024 | Weather

February 18, 2024

Note: Weather is a constantly changing phenomenon and weather forecasting is a combination of science, experience, and intuition. The accuracy of any given forecast can chance due to unexpected changes in atmospheric conditions, so there are no guarantees the the actual weather will conform to the projected forecast.

ADVISORIES

  • A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM TODAY FOR THE FOOTHILLS OF THE SOUTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON, NORTH CENTRAL OREGON, AND CENTRAL OREGON .
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM TODAY FOR THE NORTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON.
  • A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM TODAY FOR FOR THE GANDE RONDE VALLEY.
  • A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR DANGEROUS SNEAKER WAVES THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE NORTH OREGON COAST AND THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST.

HEALTH ADVISORIES

  • A PERMANENT HEALTH ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH UMPQUA RIVER BAR. POOLS IN THE BEDROCK ALONG THE RIVERS EDGE ARE KNOWN TO DEVELOP BLUE-GREEN ALGAE (CYANOBACTERIAL) BLOOMS THAT CAN BE HARMFUL TO PETS AND PEOPLE IF ACCIDENTAL INGESTION OCCURS. SIGNS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG SEVERAL ACCESS AREAS ALONG THE  RIVER.

THE WEATHER PATTERN:

  • The Upper Level High Pressure Ridge (“Arch” shape) has moved to the east and will be followed by an Upper Level Low Pressure Trough (“U” shape). The graphics for days 1-3  show a frontal system approaching the coast from the southwest. The graphics for days 3-7    Wednesday through Sunday show active weather with complex frontal systems  approaching active over the Pacific Ocean moving toward the Pacific Northwest.

Forecast For The South Willamette Valley Including Eugene-Springfield:

  • Clouds and sun with a good (50%) chance of AM rain, a mix of clouds and sun and warmer with a slight  (20%) chance of rain this afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) chance of rain tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of rain (under 0.10 in. of rain possible) Monday (President’s Day), a good (50%) chance of evening rain, rain likely (70%) late at night (0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with rain likely (70%) Tuesday, then a good (50%) chance of showers Tuesday night.
  • highs 58-55 lows 42-44.
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain Wednesday, partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night,
  • Partly cloudy Thursday, partly cloudy at night,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit warmer Friday, partly cloudy Friday night,
  • Then partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of showers Saturday.
  • highs 55-56 lows 38-37. (seasonal averages high 52 low 35)

Forecast for the Umpqua Valley including Roseburg:

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM rain, rain likely (70%) and a bit warmer this afternoon, a good (50%) of rain tonight (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM rain, rain likely (70%) Monday afternoon (President’s Day)(under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) chance of rain late at night (under 0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain likely (70%) Tuesday, evening rain likely (70%), then a good (50%) chance of showers late Tuesday night.
  • highs 60-57 warming to 58 Tuesday night lows near 45.
  • Mostly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of AM showers, a bit cooler with showers likely (70%) Wednesday afternoon, a slight (20%) chance of evening showers, just mostly cloudy late Wednesday night,
  • Partly cloudy Thursday and Friday, partly cloudy both nights,
  • Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, then a slight (20%) chance of rain Saturday afternoon.
  • highs 56-60 lows 42-40 warming back to 42 Saturday (seasonal average high 54 low 38)

Forecast for the Oregon Coast including Coos Bay and North Bend:

  • Mostly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM rain, rain and a bit warmer this afternoon (under 0.10 in. of rain possible), a good (50%) tonight (0.10 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a good (50%) chance of AM coastal rain and coastal rain Monday afternoon while inland AM rain likely (70%) Monday (President’s Day), rain at night (0.25 in. of rain possible),
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with rain Tuesday, then rain likely (70%) Tuesday night.
  • highs 60-57 lows 45-47.
  • Mostly cloudy and a bit cooler with a (40%) chance of showers Wednesday, a slight (20%) chance of showers Wednesday night,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit warmer Thursday and Friday, partly cloudy both nights,
  • Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of AM showers, then a slight (20%) chance of rain and a bit cooler Saturday afternoon.
  • highs 56-60 cooling to 59 Saturday lows 45-42. (seasonal averages high 54 low 41).

Forecast for the Northern Oregon Cascades including Willamette Pass:

  • Clouds and sun with a good (50%) chance of AM rain and snow, a mix of clouds and sun and a bit warmer with rain likely (70%) this afternoon, rain and snow tonight (0.25 in. of rain possible, 1 in. of snow possible),
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely (70%) Monday (President’s Day) and in the evening, a good (50%) of rain and snow late Monday night,
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers Tuesday, a good (50%) chance of evening rain and snow, then partly cloudy with a good (50%) chance of rain and snow showers Tuesday night.
  • snow level 4,500 ft. today, 5,000 ft. tonight through Tuesday, then 4,500 ft. Tuesday night.
  • highs near 42 lows 32-30.
  • Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely (70%) Wednesday, partly cloudy with a (40%) chance of rain and snow showers late Wednesday night,
  • Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Thursday, just partly cloudy at night,
  • Partly cloudy and a bit warmer with a slight (20%) chance of showers Friday, partly cloudy Friday night,
  • Partly cloudy with a slight (20%) chance of rain and snow showers Saturday.
  • snow level 4,500 ft. Wednesday and Wednesday night, 4,000 ft. Thursday, free air freezing level 6,500 ft. Thursday night, snow level 4,500 ft. Friday, free air freezing level 7,000 ft. Friday night, then snow level 4,500 ft. Saturday.
  • highs 38-46 lows near 26.